From the category archives: Market Analysis and Forecasts

Market Analysis and Forecasts

Medium Duty Cabover Market Subdued for a Second Month

After a strong start to the year, pricing reversed course in May, posting a major month-over-month decrease. June recovered moderately, but not enough to bring average pricing back to 1st quarter levels.

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Freightliner Cascadia Assumes Lead in 3-5 Year-Old Sleeper Segment

In June, average retail selling prices for 3-5 year-old Freightliner Cascadias ticked up just enough to allow that model to eke out a $135 lead over the Volvo VNL 730/780. A few other models saw larger than typical movement, due mainly to the low volume of sales this month...

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Wholesale Pricing Generally Unchanged Going into Second Half

On a mileage-adjusted basis, the used truck market overall saw little change in pricing from May. Combined with this month’s increased sales volume, we characterize June’s wholesale market as healthy.

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Retail Pricing Mostly Unchanged in June

Despite the notable decrease in sales volume, pricing for most trucks was essentially unchanged in June. As such, we consider June a typically laid-back summer month for sales activity, and not indicative of any shift in demand.

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Wholesale Volume Extends Lead over 2014

The number of trucks sold through auction and dealer-to-dealer channels reported to NADA increased again in June, coming in at 4217. This is a 584-truck increase over May, and a 526-truck increase over June 2014...

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Weak June for Retail Sales

The ATD/NADA Official Commercial Truck Guide’s preliminary estimate points to a dramatic drop in the number of used trucks retailed per rooftop in June, at 4.9. This figure is 0.9 truck lower than May, and also 0.9 truck lower than June 2014...

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Medium Duty Conventionals Continue to Edge Upward

Volume and pricing data for Class 4 and 6 swapped places in May, with Class 4 dipping down slightly in both measures and Class 6 heading up...

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Competitive Comparison of 3-5 Year-Old Sleeper Tractors

3-5 year –old trucks continue to dominate the retail landscape, making up 50% of our total retail database so far in 2015 (compared to 39% for same-period 2014). Pricing continues to stabilize as supply increases. Despite the increased volume, year-over-year depreciation has narrowed to near-parity with 2014...

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Volume Heads Back Up Going into Third Quarter

Retail volume ticked up in May, slightly improving a moderately weak year to date. Wholesale volume was up more notably, extending 2015’s lead over 2016...

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Wholesale Pricing Moderately Down Going into the Third Quarter

As in the retail channel, wholesale pricing for sleeper tractors in May dipped from April, and is running moderately lower year-over-year....

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