From the category archives: Market Analysis and Forecasts

Market Analysis and Forecasts

Current State of the Natural Gas Market (Video)

In under 3 minutes, ATD/NADA Senior Analyst Chris Visser brings you up to speed on the factors influencing the market for new and used natural gas-powered trucks. Click here to view!

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Is the Medium Duty Cabover Recovery Accelerating?

The Class 3-4 cabover market reawakened in the first quarter, with volume and pricing both up notably.

In March, the average 4-7 year-old cabover sold wholesale for $17,326 and had 113,560 miles. Pricing was up by $473 (or 2.8%) month-over-month...

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Medium Duty Conventionals Continue to Gradually Recover

Volume came back in most segments in March, providing more insight on market performance. Rental fleets and other users of medium duty trucks did not accelerate their purchases of new trucks in the past year to any great extent, so the increased volume is mainly seasonal and not due to increased trade activity...

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Competitive Comparison of Late-Model Sleeper Tractors

In the first quarter of this year, the retail market for 3-5 year-old aerodynamic sleepers was down $1,300 (or 1.7%) on average compared to the same period last year. However, the decrease was driven almost entirely by one model...

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Wholesale Volume and Pricing Trends Shaping Up as Predicted

As in the retail channel, the number of trucks sold wholesale in March increased greatly following the severe winter. Also similarly to the retail channel, 3-5 year-old Class 8 sleeper tractors continue to dominate the market...

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Retail Pricing Stable as Activity Picks Up

We mentioned earlier this month that buyers returned to dealership lots in March after the severe winter. We now know that pricing trends didn’t change much in the retail channel despite the increased volume...

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April Commercial Truck Market Update Video is Available!

After a severe winter that kept a lid on retail sales, volume came back up to a healthy level in March. Dealers sold an estimated 6.2 trucks per rooftop this month, which is slightly higher than the long-term average...

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Buyers Returned to Dealership Lots in March

After a weather-ravaged January and February, retail sales per rooftop look to have recovered in March. Our preliminary estimate shows a 6.2 truck average, putting the month slightly above the long-term, post-recovery average of 6.0...

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Medium Duty Cabovers Continue to Gradually Improve

After a notable improvement in early 2014, the Class 3-4 cabover market has plateaued, with little upward or downward movement in the most recent three quarters. Volume is up mildly...

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Medium-Duty Conventionals – a Tale of Two Markets

Unusually low sales activity in the first quarter of 2015 has resulted in somewhat unusual pricing behavior. Late-model trucks - represented by 2011 and newer units – have depreciated moderately heavily, while 2010 and older units have strengthened...

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