Mileage continues to be the determining factor in the wholesale selling price of a sleeper tractor. Specifically, 650,000 miles appears to be the point at which a truck loses value dramatically, as the graph below illustrates.



Since January, 2011, trucks with under 650K have averaged $35,220, while those with over 650K have averaged $27,374. For this period, the negative correlation between price and mileage has been a statistically strong -0.88%.

Interestingly, our data indicates that trucks with over 650K are making up an increasing share of the wholesale market. As the graph illustrates, the proportion of trucks with over 650K had been decreasing in late 2011, but rebounded steeply in early 2012.
 
One likely reason for this shift is the influx of trade-ins resulting from the increasing number of new truck sales during this period. Since the overall volume of sleeper tractors sold has remained roughly constant, this trend is further evidence that higher-mileage trucks are becoming the only units available.




New to NADA Used Car Guide! 
We are now selling raw commercial vehicle auction data, as follows:

- Basic auction results including Make, Model, Mileage, Sale Type (dealer, manufacturer, fleet/lease, repossession, salvage), Sale Date, Sale Price, Region (20), and VIN for each record

- Auction results from all Manheim and ADESA locations, plus participating ABC, ServNet, and independent auctions

- Database is updated weekly, and includes historical sales back to 2002

- Raw data (.csv) format is easily manipulated in Access or Excel

Pricing is based on amount of data requested.  We can provide anything from a few months’ results for a single vehicle to every vehicle reported sold since 2002.

To order, contact me at cvisser@nada.org or 800-248-6232, Extension: 4731.